A train of disturbances has crossed the area for much of the week. It's lead to daily snow showers and temperatures that have been cold, but not outrageously cold. A batch of snow showers is crossing the area Wednesday night. There may be brief spots of heavier snow and wind but they continue to push east. Any snow late tonight will tend to be on the lighter side but we could see around an inch or two of new snow by early Thursday. The western facing foothill of the Green Mountains may end up near 3". Still, it'll be blowing around at times and sticking to roads; go easy. Temperatures will fall slowly overnight into the middle and upper teens by morning. Thursday, our wind will be gradually shifting and be from the northwest, this helps to spill cold air into the area all day. It also means the warmest part of the day will be in the morning with afternoon readings dropping to near 10° with wind chills at or below 0°. The cold still gets worse. Meanwhile, spotty snow will be around during the day Thursday. Most of it will be confined to the mountains but valley showers aren't ruled out. Generally we're looking at about an inch of new snow down low; higher terrain could add up to 1-3". Here's where it gets worse. Thursday night lows will be around 0-4°, with some spots in the Adirondacks and NEK well below 0°. Friday's highs struggle to get into the middle and upper teens; the wind won't be as bad. Wind chills Friday afternoon will be around 0-10°. Another around of snow arrives Friday evening; another widespread inch or three of accumulation is possible; mountains and the NEK get more. All told through Saturday morning, valleys are looking at 1-3" of new snow with mountains and the NEK near 3-6". Some of the higher peaks of the Adirondacks may end up closer to 8". A steady stream of lake effect moisture will help enhance snow totals there. The bigger weather story over the weekend will be the cold. Saturday's lows start near or blow 0° with afternoon highs struggling to get near 5°. Meanwhile, the wind is howling from the west northwest making it feel like it's well below 0° all day; wind chills will be near -10° to -20°. High country highs won't get above 0°, most ski resorts will be around -10° to 0°. A few light snow showers are possible in the mountains Saturday with little accumulation. Lows Saturday night through Valentine's Day morning will easily be the coldest of the season. We're all heading well below 0° with the Champlain Valley bottoming out around -9° with wind chills much colder than that. There are significant signs of warming starting next week; we'll be in the 20s & 30s again by Tuesday. However, it comes with another batch of rain and snow.
-Meteorologist Sean Parker
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