Weather: Hot Sunday, Stormy Monday (6/17/2017)

Amanda's Forecast Discussion

Good evening!

As we wrap up the first half of the weekend and look forward to Sunday, get ready to beat the heat! It's a muggy night followed by a hot and humid Father's Day. Stormy weather then follows as the weekend winds down.

Saturday night, warm and steamy with a low temp around 70° under partly cloudy skies. Any late afternoon showers that have popped up over New York's North Country will come to an end with sunset (8:40 PM in Burlington) and the loss of diurnal heating. 

Sunday, Father's Day, you'll have to get creative to help Dad stay cool! Maybe a dip in his favorite swimming hole or an extra large maple creemee? Temps top out in the upper 80s to around 90° with a south wind of 10-15 mph. There should be plenty of sunshine all day long, but from time to time expect some clouds to float by. There is another chance for a few thunderstorms to fire up over northern New York, but most stay dry. Those few storms may pack a big punch, however, with the Storm Prediction Center issuing a 'Slight Risk' for severe weather. 

Sunday night into Monday, a cold front sets its sights on our neck-of-the-woods. Expect those clouds to start taking over with another pretty mild night; temps stall near 70°.

Monday, from midday through the evening, there will be scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms marching through, one right after another. Some may travel over the same spot producing multiple periods of moderate to heavy rainfall. 1-2+" of very quick rainfall is possible leading to flash flooding. A Flash Flood Watch has been issued Monday with the main concerns being flooded and/or washed out roads, in addition to streams and rivers moving fast and becoming very swollen.

With some periods of sunshine expected to boost instability through the afternoon, there is an increasingly likelihood for strong to severe storms, mainly over Vermont and New Hampshire...with a big focus on southern counties. The SPC has posted a 'Slight' to 'Enhanced Risk' for severe storms capable of producing heavy rain, frequent lightning, hail and damaging wind gusts. It will be incredibly important to stay weather-aware Monday, especially from Bennington to Brattleboro to Keene, NH.

Thinking long-term, Tuesday through Saturday we stay in a fairly warm and active weather pattern as an upper level trough parks itself over the northeast corner of North America. There will be an almost daily round of scattered showers, though stretches of dry weather (and warm temperatures) will make it seem like less of a washout than most of May did.

Have a great rest of the weekend!

-Skytracker Meteorologist Amanda Lindquist

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