Sunday night, a line of strong to severe storms continues to move across northern New York and into Vermont. Frequent lightning, heavy rain, damaging wind and hail are the biggest threats in the strongest storms. It's possible an isolated storm or two will reach severe limits before midnight. After midnight, , pockets of heavy rain, lightning and periodic gusty winds over 40mph will be possible. The severe threat while most are sleeping is very low but we will have to be careful of isolated flash flooding. I do hope you have an air conditioner. Storms or not, it's going to be a warm and muggy night with lows around 65-73°.
Spotty, non-severe showers and a few thunderstorms will be around during the morning drive. I don't see many early issues. However, as the morning goes on, another line of rain and thunderstorms will be firing up along a cold front laying right over the northeast. Some storms may be severe packing damaging wind, heavy rain, frequent lightning & hail. Storms will be at their strongest as the front will meanders into central, eastern and southern Vermont & New Hampshire during the late morning & early afternoon. Storms will have a tendency to move over the same spots over and over again. We call this "training" and the hardest hit areas will get a quick 1-2"+ worth of rain in a short amount of time. It will create a flash flood risk starting around noon and lasting through Monday evening. Rivers, creeks and streams will be running high. Also, water may end up covering low lying roads and potentially washout some country back roads. Meanwhile, outside of storms, highs will jump into the upper 70s & low 80s. Storms will weaken by Monday evening with showers continuing overnight into Tuesday.
Tuesday through the weekend will be slightly unsettled. We'll have waves of energy that generate daily shots of scattered rain and isolated thunderstorms. No day has "washout" written on it and we're not too concerned about severe weather. You should just know that you may have to dodge a few showers here or there as you go throughout your week. Otherwise, skies will be partly sunny with highs close to normal as we start summer on Wednesday. We'll jump to around 80° each afternoon with overnight lows dropping to tolerable levels in the low to mid 60s.
Have a great week, happy summer!
-Meteorologist Sean Parker
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