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Average to Below Average Hurricane Season Expected

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration expects an average to below average hurricane season this year.
WASHINGTON, D.C. - The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration expects an average to below average number of tropical systems in the Atlantic this year.

Hurricane forecasters today predicted 8-13 named storms in the Atlantic and Caribbean this season, which stretches from June 1 through November 30. The average number of named storms is 12.

Of those, experts predict 3-6 will become hurricanes. Only 1 or 2 will become major hurricanes, which are storms reaching category 3 or higher. On average, 6 storms become hurricanes with 3 reaching major status.

Forecasters say the development of El Nino this summer, which is a warming of equatorial Pacific waters, will limit storm formation. El Nino typically increases wind shear over the Atlantic, cutting down on the number and intensity of hurricanes there.

It is critical to remember that just one landfalling hurricane can cause major destruction. As such, it is key to prepare for every hurricane season the same, regardless of the outlook.
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