Thursday night, lows stay warm, only dropping into the upper 30s & low 40s. Expect areas of fog and scattered showers to start while snowmelt continues overnight. Friday, it stays breezy and scattered rain hangs around from morning to afternoon. This isn’t a super soaking situation, rain totals will only be around .10-.30″ with isolated higher amounts. There will be dry time. Skies will stay mostly cloudy and highs will get well into the 50s everywhere with some spots running toward 60°! A river flood threat will exist Friday morning through Saturday evening. Couple the rain with snowmelt and ice break up, rivers will likely rise 2-5 feet. Most of them should remain within their banks but it’s quite possible an ice jam moves and water gets pushed where it shouldn’t be. Please be very mindful of that and relay any flooding you see. It’s still impossible to say where exactly ice jam flooding will happen but a flood watch is in effect for all of northern New York and most of Vermont.
Friday night, cold air spills back in and we get some spotty snow to mix in with the rain; lows will be in the low 30s. Saturday, light areas of snow continue in the northern mountains while everywhere else trends quiet by the afternoon. Expect late morning/early afternoon highs in the low 40s, we’ll be falling back into the 30s by dinner.
St. Patrick’s Day is Sunday and the weather looks good. Skies will be partly to mostly sunny with highs in the low 30s. If you’re going skiing or riding, there’s still going to be a bunch of snow left after the melt, but there may be icy spots. The first part of next week will be dry, cool and mostly sunny Monday to Wednesday. Highs will be in the low to mid 30s each day, lows will be in the teens to near 20°. The vernal equinox, aka spring, happens Wednesday evening at 5:58pm.
The weekend and spring are both in view!
-Chief Meteorologist Sean Parker