After a gorgeous Monday, the weather takes a turn heading towards midweek. Several rounds of rain (and snow) plus a roller coaster ride of temperatures will have you itching for late Spring, if you’re not already. Because each day looks dramatically different forecast-wise, I’ll break it down…
Tuesday: Morning clouds increase, but we’re mostly dry straight through lunchtime. The temp climbs from the mid 20s and mid 30s early, into the mid 40s with a light south wind. By this afternoon, a warm front inches closer from the southwest, tapping into moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. Showers, light at first, spread from southwest to northeast throughout the afternoon and evening, reaching from Bennington county early afternoon, into the Northeast Kingdom by 6-9 PM.
Though this is a majority rain event at the onset, we will likely see some snow or sleet (with little to no accumulation) mixing in across the Adirondacks and from the Green Mountains into eastern Vermont. Meanwhile in New Hampshire, up to 2″ of slushy, wet snow and a glaze of freezing rain is also possible this afternoon and evening in Grafton county and the White Mountains.
Tuesday Night: Overnight, with an influx of warmer air, the temp will either hold steady in the low 40s or just barely dip into the mid and upper 30s. All rain falls through sunrise Wednesday morning, with a few heavier downpours. The wind picks up a few notches, from the south or southeast at 10-20 mph. Mid morning Wednesday, that warm front reaches all the way into southern Quebec and a dry slot enters our region with a break in the shower activity.
Wednesday: Following that break, the rain returns ahead and along a strong, approaching cold front from the west. Rain may be heavy at times late morning through mid afternoon, accompanied by a rumble of thunder or two as the air mass becomes unstable. In total, 0.5″ up to 1.5″ of rain falls over two days. Area waterways, including larger rivers and smaller creeks and streams, will need to be monitored for potential minor flooding due to rapid rises. Wednesday afternoon, despite the clouds and showers, the temp maxes out in the 50s. Toasty! The same cannot be said for the rest of the week, however, once that cold front clears the region.
Wednesday Night: Perhaps the most important forecast note here, is the incredibly gusty west wind that follows on the heels of the cold front. From 2 PM Wednesday to around 3 AM Thursday, a west wind sustained at 20-30 mph with gusts of 50-60 mph races across New York’s North Country and southern Vermont. Eastern Rutland, Windsor, Bennington and Windham counties in Vermont, and St. Lawrence, Franklin, Clinton and Essex counties in New York are all under the gun for downed trees, tree limbs and power lines. It will be incredibly difficult driving high profile vehicles through this stretch, too.
Thursday: Scattered snow follows the rain Wednesday night into early Thursday with light accumulation above 1500-2000 feet. Morning snow showers wrap up and clouds slowly start to break apart with peeks of sunshine expected heading into the afternoon. Enjoy a briefly drier, though blustery and cold, day with a top temp in the upper 30s and a leftover west wind of 15-25 mph.
Friday: Another low pressure system sets its sights on us bringing a mix of rain and snow. The exact track, timing and potential rainfall totals and snow accumulations…that’s all up the air (pun completely intended) for now, but it remains one to watch with some travel impacts anticipated Friday into Saturday morning.
Have a wonderful day!
-Skytracker Meteorologist Amanda Thibault