Weather: Outer Fringes of Jose (9/20 AM)

Wednesday Sept 20th

Good morning!

Although Jose stays largely offshore, we feel some very outer fringe effects with an uptick in cloud cover and a breezy north wind. From mostly cloudy skies over New Hampshire to partly sunny skies over Vermont to mostly sunny in New York. A handful of light showers are possible in southern Vermont and New Hampshire counties, otherwise we stay mainly dry. Mid to upper 70s. That north wind kicks up to 5-15 mph. Tonight, partly cloudy with patchy morning fog by early Thursday. Low temp in the 50s.

Thursday and Friday, mostly sunny, dry and quiet. Upper 70s to near 80 degrees. Light north wind. Heading into the weekend, that upper level ridge amplifies with temps moderating. The mid to upper 80s are within reach for broad valleys by Sunday and Monday. Beyond that, forecast confidence plummets. Our weather will hinge on what happens with Jose’s remnants, Maria’s track and an upper level trough moving in from central Canada to replace the ridge. There are a lot of variables determining how the weather plays out in the early to middle portions of next week.

Saturday is the 2017 Vermont Heart Walk at Oakledge Park. Registration is at 8:45 AM with the 1 and 3 mile walks kicking off at 9:30. Join Local 22 & Local 44 and lace up your sneakers for a great cause! We are your official forecast and it looks A-Okay. Enjoy mostly sunny skies, a light wind and mild temperatures. We’ll be in the 60s throughout the morning, climbing to the 70s midday and eventually that afternoon topping out around 80°.

Checking in now on the Tropics…

Jose is a Tropical Storm with maximum sustained winds of 65 mph, moving northeast at around 8 mph. Jose largely stays offshore, but coastal flooding and beach erosion, plus high surf is all possible. Jose is maintaining its tropical characteristics thanks to the warm waters of the Gulf Stream, but will continue to slowly weaken. There isn’t a strong upper level steering pattern, so Jose will sit and spin offshore for several days. One of two outcomes is possible…Either Jose fizzles out entirely…Or it interacts with Maria as it too moves up the coast. This second outcome could spell trouble for somewhere along the US east coast, but it’s way too early to say how, when and where. Just something to watch!

Maria remains a catastrophic major hurricane undergoing an eye wall replacement cycle overnight. As of Wednesday morning, it is a Category 4 storm with maximum winds of 155 mph. Maria will turn north today striking Puerto Rico, thanks to a break in that upper level ridge made by Jose. All models then keep Maria well offshore from the mainland US for the next 4 to 5 days, but there is some uncertainty after that. Interaction with Puerto Rico will somewhat weaken Maria, but it will remain quite strong for several days.

Have an amazing day!

-Skytracker Meteorologist Amanda Lindquist

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