It’s going to be a busy afternoon with scattered thunderstorms potentially producing small hail, gusty wind and heavy downpours. Up until that point, however, mostly sunny with the temp reaching into the 80s. Humid, but more of a south breeze to move the air around more than we saw yesterday. Of course, being out of the south, it’s a warm breeze – but better than stagnant air!
That humid, warm air mass provides fuel for showers and thunderstorms to bubble up after lunchtime. While not everyone sees a storm (remember, we’re talking scattered action) those that do are in for a doozy. T’storms will likely put down very heavy rainfall with rates up to around 1-2″ per hour. Storm motion will also be very, very slow – just 5 to 15 mph. Along with the threat for a big soaking, comes the risk of down bursts and strong wind gusts that could down trees. Hail up to 1″ in diameter is not out of the question either. Around lunchtime is when thunderstorms kick off over northern New York, scooting very slowly into Vermont and New Hampshire this afternoon and evening, dying off just after sunset.
Friday, we’re going to do it all over again. There is a greater potential for strong to severe thunderstorms Friday afternoon and evening, lingering overnight into early Saturday as an upper level trough moving off the Great Lakes steers a cold front our way. That front will give us a somewhat soggy Saturday. Rain rolls through northern New York early in the morning, moving into Vermont and New Hampshire by Saturday afternoon and evening. We’re then cooler by Sunday. Mostly sunny with a high in the mid 70s, preventing the weekend from being a complete washout.
Have a good day!
-Skytracker Meteorologist Amanda Lindquist