We’ve got a pretty decent cold air recipe tonight. High pressure will settle directly overhead providing a clear sky, dry air and a light wind; it means lows from -5° to 7° Thursday night. The colder side of the range will be in the Adirondacks and the NEK. The warmer side of the range will be directly along Lake Champlain, either way, it’s going to be cold. Through the day Friday, high pressure shifts east and our winds become southerly; gusts will be near 20-30mph. Clouds will increase and highs will get pushed into the low to mid 30s. Much of the day is dry but by late afternoon snow showers enter western New York. A clipper system will drag scattered snow across the rest of the area Friday night thru Saturday morning; we’ll get about 1-3″ by early Saturday. Mountains will get the higher end of the scale. Overnight lows will only drop to around 30°. Temperatures will warm quick to start the weekend. Any leftover snow will change to spotty light rain during the day Saturday; highs will get into the low to mid 40s. Saturday night into Sunday another round of light rain or snow showers will move through; lows will be mild in the low 30s. The day Sunday won’t be as messy but isolated rain or snow will dance around the area; highs will be near 40°. Yet another clipper moves east across the region Sunday night through early Monday. Model trends keep pushing this system south with limited impacts on us aside from some light scattered snow. That said, snow may be on the ground for the Monday morning drive.
High pressure builds in again on Monday and Tuesday; expect mostly sunny skies with highs in the upper 20s & low to mid 30s. Eyes and question marks still remain around what may happen with yet another coastal storm Wednesday & Thursday. There’s still quite a bit of uncertainty with how the storm develops as it drops out of the Pacific ocean, then moves across the United States. There’s one thing the models do agree on: there will be a storm moving north in the Atlantic Ocean. There are many things they disagree on, the most notable one is exact location. We’ll know more as time goes by, especially through the weekend. Stay tuned!
-Meteorologist Sean Parker