Tuesday night, temperatures will be warming well into the upper 60s and it’ll be a little muggy. Steady rain from the afternoon will be tapering to off and on showers. Wednesday, south winds continue to howl, gusting close to 30mph. It won’t be as windy as last Friday but it’ll be plenty breezy. Some breaks in the clouds and the south wind will push highs well into the 70s.
Wednesday afternoon, gusty winds will continue ahead of a strong cold front that will march across the northeast. A line of storms should start forming in northwest New York around 1-3pm. They will then cross northern New York and approach the Champlain Valley by 5pm. Storms will be east of the Connecticut River by 7-8pm. If we can stay mostly cloudy, our severe threat will be greatly limited. However, if we get breaks in the clouds to allow additional heating, the risk of severe weather will go up. As of now, isolated damaging wind gusts, frequent lightning and heavy rain will be our biggest issues. Wednesday’s rain amounts will be similar to Tuesday’s giving us a 2-day rain total of around an inch or more of much needed water. It won’t bust the drought, but it’ll help.
Wednesday night, rain ends through early Thursday. Temps will drop fast into the 40s. Thursday is trending dry and very fall-like. Expect partly to mostly sunny skies with highs in the low 60s, the morning breeze will calm down by the afternoon. Friday, there’s a small chance at an isolated shower later in the day along the border, but most spend the day dry.
Over the weekend, a weak disturbance will buzz by, likely Saturday night & early Sunday. A few showers may get squeezed out but I wouldn’t cancel plans. Expect partly to mostly sunny skies Saturday & Sunday with highs in the low to mid 60s and lows in the 40s.
Have a great week!
-Chief Meteorologist Sean Parker