Weather Blog: Thunderstorms back in the forecast Wednesday

SkyTracker Blog

Good evening!

A quiet Tuesday night is on tap with sunset at around 7:50 PM for Burlington. That clear sky sticks with us up until midnight, when clouds start re-entering the picture. Mid 50s to mid 60s.

Wednesday brings back the threat for showers and thunderstorms. Some storms may be strong to severe, especially during the afternoon. Early on in the day, a warm front lifts north bringing a handful of morning showers, along with an embedded weak thunderstorm or two. The big question then surrounding the threat for severe weather is whether or not the atmosphere can destabilize again after that stabilizing morning rain. If breaks of sunshine can form, then stronger storms are likely when a pre-frontal disturbance moves in during the afternoon. If we remain cloudy, it’s less likely that any big thunderboomers close out the day.

It will be plenty hot and humid enough for storms. The temp will reach into the 80s with muggy dewpoints in at least the upper 60s. South breeze 10-20 mph. If the atmosphere becomes destabilized enough, strong to potentially severe thunderstorms bubble up early afternoon. These storms will produce heavy rain and possible localized flooding. However, they are fast-movers, so no one storm sits over a singular location for long. There is, of course, the threat of deadly lightning and strong, damaging wind gusts. Hail is also possible, and we have a nonzero chance at a brief, spin-up tornado, too.

Thunderstorms diminish with sunset as the temp drops into the upper 60s overnight. Clouds remain into Thursday with a few more showers possible as the actual cold front gets ready to swing by. Mid to upper 70s.

Behind the cold front, another taste of Falls steps up to the plate. The temp Friday and Saturday struggles to get beyond the upper 60s to low and mid 70s under a mix of sun and clouds. A stray mountain shower isn’t out of the question, but most are dry. Northwest breeze 5-15 mph. Sunday, mostly sunny. Mid to upper 70s.

Have a great night! Stay safe and vigilant tomorrow.

-Skytracker Chief Meteorologist Amanda Thibault

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